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The Heidelberg research confirms exactly that: the distribution is much narrower in poker and skat. Whereas the standard deviation — the average deviation from the mean — for chess is over , the other two games did not exceed To create a standard of comparison for a game involving more than 50 per cent luck, the researchers replaced every other game in their chess data set with a coin toss.
This produced a deviation of 45, which is still much higher than poker and skat. Our analyses show that after about one hundred games, a poker player who is one standard deviation better than his opponent is 75 per cent more likely to have won more games than his opponent.
In principle, the method can be applied to all games where winners are determined, report the researchers. The percentage of skill in the popular card game Mau-Mau, for example, is far less than poker, whereas the Chinese board game Go involves even more skill than chess.
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Original publication. Further Information Homepage. DOI: Provided by Heidelberg University. Citation : Skat and poker: More luck than skill?
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